SPE Production & Operations
Volume 24, Number 1, February 2009, pp. 74-80

SPE-106463-PA

Data Mining Identifies Production Drivers in a Complex High-Temperature Gas Reservoir

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DOI  More information 10.2118/106463-PA http://dx.doi.org/10.2118/106463-PA

Citation

  • Shelley, R. and Harris, P.C. 2009. Data Mining Identifies Production Drivers in a Complex High-Temperature Gas Reservoir. SPE Prod & Oper  24 (1): 74-80. SPE-106463-PA.

Discipline Categories

  • 5.3.3 Hydraulic Fracturing and Gravel Packing

Summary

This paper presents the results of a data-driven, field-modeling (DDFM) evaluation applied to a high-temperature reservoir in Australia for the purpose of determining the significance of chemistry, reservoir, well, and hydraulic-fracture characteristics on well production. The DDFM approach has identified key production drivers for a gas-well field in Australia. This information has been useful in explaining hydraulic-fracture well production and providing guidelines for future fracture stimulation success.

A DDFM process is used to develop a model for 32 wells completed in a complex, 250 to 350°F gas reservoir in Australia. This type modeling technique uses data from the field, including chemical formulation, geology, reservoir, well, completion, hydraulic-fracture stimulation, and production results. The data is integrated into a common format and resolution, and then a visual and statistical evaluation is performed. Relevant correlations and useful trends are noted. Next, an effort is made to develop a predictive model that can be used to provide an overall explanation as to what parameters drive production in the well field. Or, in effect, derive a high-level understanding about the effect of the fracturing process on the reservoir. This is accomplished by the use of data modeling/optimization technologies, including artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic algorithms. The resulting ANN model can then be used to evaluate the production associated with various hydraulic-fracturing scenarios and/or characteristics. Validation of conclusions and/or resolution of difficult interpretation issues are done by detailed evaluation and modeling of key wells.

Hydraulic-fracture stimulation scenario evaluations performed by the ANN model have yielded some expected as well as unexpected results. As expected, reservoir characteristics, such as pay thickness, porosity, and water saturation have a dominant effect on well production. What was unexpected is the significance of well operations and stimulation fluid chemistry on well production. The practice of killing the well after stimulation and using inappropriate perforation techniques can reduce gas production by as much as one-half, while the use of a high-temperature gel breaker in combination with a reduction in base-gel polymer load can provide a 67% increase in production.

Introduction

This paper analyzes reservoir, well, and completion information from the Toolachee and Daralingie formations in the Moomba and Big Lake fields. The work focuses primarily on the performance of fracture-stimulated wells.

The specific objectives were as follows:

  • Attempt to predict post-fracture production from available preproduction data.
  • Identify key parameters that influence fracture effectiveness and production performance.
  • Determine which completion/stimulation methods and designs have been successful in the past, and use the information to improve future designs.
  • Use the three previously listed understandings to improve fracture candidate selection.

In turn, a more general objective is to perform a pilot trial to determine the applicability and benefits of applying ANN analysis as a tool for understanding and improving well performance as part of a 1999 integrated reservoir study.

For well-performance comparison purposes, a 12-month, normalized, cumulative production volume (NCPV) for each well is determined. Because wells from all stages of the field life are considered, this normalization removes the effect of declining reservoir pressures or changes in surface pressures caused by installation of compression, etc. The 12-month NCPV is determined for a "datum" reservoir pressure of 3,600 psi and a flowing tubing head pressure of 500 psi by multiplying the first 12-month actual cumulative gas production volume by (3,6002 to 5002)/(reservoir pressure2 – ftp2).

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History

  • Original manuscript received: 3 January 2007
  • Meeting paper published: 28 February 2007
  • Revised manuscript received: 14 May 2008
  • Manuscript approved: 19 June 2008
  • Published online: 2 March 2009
  • Version of record: 26 February 2009