SPE Journal
Volume 15,
Number 4,
December 2010,
pp. 1077-1088
Summary
Seismic history matching is the process of modifying a reservoir simulation
model to reproduce the observed production data in addition to information
gained through time-lapse (4D) seismic data. The search for good predictions
requires that many models be generated, particularly if there is an interaction
between the properties that we change and their effect on the misfit to
observed data. In this paper, we introduce a method of improving search
efficiency by estimating such interactions and partitioning the set of unknowns
into noninteracting subspaces. We use regression analysis to identify the
subspaces, which are then searched separately but simultaneously with an
adapted version of the quasiglobal stochastic neighborhood algorithm. We have
applied this approach to the Schiehallion field, located on the UK continental
shelf. The field model, supplied by the operator, contains a large number of
barriers that affect flow at different times during production, and their
transmissibilities are highly uncertain. We find that we can successfully
represent the misfit function as a second-order polynomial dependent on changes
in barrier transmissibility. First, this enables us to identify the most
important barriers, and, second, we can modify their transmissibilities
efficiently by searching subgroups of the parameter space. Once the regression
analysis has been performed, we reduce the number of models required to find a
good match by an order of magnitude. By using 4D seismic data to condition
saturation and pressure changes in history matching effectively, we have gained
a greater insight into reservoir behavior and have been able to predict flow
more accurately with an efficient inversion tool. We can now determine unswept
areas and make better business decisions.
© 2010. Society of Petroleum Engineers
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History
- Original manuscript received:
28 February 2009
- Meeting paper published:
9 June 2009
- Revised manuscript received:
16 January 2010
- Manuscript approved:
2 March 2010
- Published online:
1 July 2010
- Version of record:
2 December 2010