Oil Prices Take a 2014-Size Hit
Oil prices fell sharply in late 2018, similar to 4 years ago, but this time around oil companies seem better able to make money at these price levels.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) made those observations in a new report released in December, after a day of trading in which the benchmark US price closed at $47.20/bbl. Brent closed at $56.49/bbl.
Companies that survived the price downturn that began in 2014 are in better shape now. “Most measures of profitability and balance sheet fitness indicate companies should be able to weather the recent price downturn,” the EIA report said.
Looking ahead, EIA’s short-term price outlook forecasts the US benchmark to settle at around $50/bbl in 2019, but it warned that volatility and uncertainty remain high. The financial pressure on companies could grow if prices sink further.
Daily declines from 1 October and the date of the report’s release (19 December) track closely the declines that took place at the same time in 2014.
Many operators in the Permian Basin have been living on less this year, because pipeline capacity constraints have held down prices there.
EIA’s financial strength analysis was based on information from 40 companies showing that their production expenses were significantly lower than they had been in 2014. They are down from $13.97/bbl in 2014 to $9.87/bbl in the third quarter of 2018. Many companies also have more cash on hand this time around.
Another difference is that the universe of companies has sunk due to industry consolidation. The fact that the EIA studied companies that survived a period when so many went out of business may paint a more positive picture.
The report offers reasons why oil prices could rise (the production reduction agreement from OPEC) or fall (demand declines caused by shrinking global economic growth).
Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih predicted that oil inventories will drop during the first quarter of 2019 and also that OPEC, Russia, and other oil producers will continue to trim production to balance the market.
Oil Prices Take a 2014-Size Hit
Stephen Rassenfoss, JPT Emerging Technology Senior Editor
20 December 2018
Dallas Fed: US Shale Boom Accounted for 10% of US GDP Growth
Researchers from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas quantified the economic impact of the US shale revolution for the first half of this decade.
When Will the Market Stop Punishing Public Shale Operators?
Share prices have plunged for seemingly every major US shale producer, with Concho, Pioneer, and Continental among those receiving the worst of the market’s fury. Have investors completely lost faith in the industry? And are shale executives any more optimistic?
New OGA Wells Strategy Focuses on Improving Economics of UKCS Oil and Gas
The strategy supports the Maximise Economic Recovery from UK Oil & Gas Strategy and Vision 2035, whose goal is to achieve £140 billion additional gross revenue from UKCS production by that time.
Don't miss out on the latest technology delivered to your email weekly. Sign up for the JPT newsletter. If you are not logged in, you will receive a confirmation email that you will need to click on to confirm you want to receive the newsletter.
13 August 2019
14 August 2019
12 August 2019
19 August 2019