PROJECT AND MARKET TRENDS
Take 10—Are You Ready for 2019?
Cautious optimism is in the air across the oil and gas landscape as oil prices have risen back into the mid-$50s in the past month. Here are some oil and gas industry themes to think about as you head into 2019.
To Sanction, or Not To Sanction—That is the Offshore Question
2019’s class of offshore projects show a wide range of potential sanctioning outcomes.
Dawn of the Drone: A New Method for Delivering IRM Services Subsea
Subsea inspection/repair/maintenance services have traditionally relied on vessel-based, ROV, or diver operations. In the longer term, identifying significant incremental savings in these operations is not sustainable and an innovative approach deploying digital technologies is being investigated.
Sustained Subsea Hardware Investment Projected for Near Term
Westwood forecasts a recovery in the subsea market backed by a new wave of offshore investment. Subsea vessel operations and hardware expenditure are expected to total $152 billion from 2019 to 2023.
FPSO Market Set To Rebound Over Next Three Years
A report from Rystad Energy shows a near-term boost in the global floating production market, with more than 30 new FPSO projects possibly reaching sanction from 2019 to 2021.
Upstream Natural Gas Capex Forecast To Peak in 2025
Gas is forecast to overtake oil as the world’s primary energy source in 2026. LNG, with capacity expected to double by the late 2040s, will connect the shifting sources of gas with changing demand centers.
Machine Learning and AI Streamline Automated Maintenance Reviews
Machine learning and artificial intelligence technology offer offshore operators the chance to automate high-cost, error-prone tasks to avoid the effects of inconsistency and errors in analysis, improving efficiencies and safety.
North American Shale Activity Gives Boost to OFSE Business
The oilfield services and equipment sector, while optimistic, has not yet seen the effects of the improved oil price in the recovery of its overall business.
Oil and Gas Projects Worth $110 Billion are Coming Off the Back Burner
The oil and gas industry has vastly accelerated the pace of approving investments for new projects over the past 18 months. New facilities worth more than $110 billion have been approved for development since the beginning of 2017 vs. only $50 billion in 2016.
New Regulations To Fast-Track Brazil FPSO Deployment, Boost Presalt Oil Production
New local content regulations could speed up the pace of presalt oil production by more than 21 billion bbl by the mid-2020s. Karoon and Parnaíba Gás Natural are the first companies to apply to change their contract terms. Petrobras, Shell, BP, ExxonMobil, Petrogal, and Anadarko are also interested.
The Benefits of Flying Unmanned Aircraft Vehicles at Scale for Asset Managers
Ground sensors on assets over a broad area have limited returns on investment if the asset life cycle is less than 10 years, and obsolescence of the technology if it exceeds 10 years. Complementing sensors with aerial remote sensing at scale may help to mitigate these issues.
Financing FLNG Facilities—What Lies Ahead?
Although the FLNG concept has been around for decades, only three units are in the water and operational or under commissioning as of 2018. As the mitigation of technological risks is demonstrated, commercial risks become the focal point and the challenge to financing the capital-intensive projects.
Where are We in the OFS Cycle?
Oil prices have recovered somewhat and operators are making money again. So why haven’t the service companies been invited to the party?
Norway Leading the Oilfield Service Comeback
The cost cuts made during the downturn and the recent increase in oil prices have led to some global offshore projects becoming economically viable. Norway is leading the comeback.
P&A Sowing Harmony Among Operators?
With no money to be made, P&A is one area where operators can put aside their hyper-competitiveness to work together. Members of the recently formed PACE network discussed the virtues of collaboration at the Decommissioning and Abandonment Summit 2018.
Government, Industry, Consumers, and Arithmetic: How Will the Rise of Electric Vehicles Impact Oil Demand?
Even if EVs reach cost and performance parity with conventional combustion engines, a lot of questions remain about how long it will take for consumers to get comfortable that parity is real, and for manufacturers to turn over enough volume to make a big enough impact on the oil industry.
Oilfield Services Q3 Review: Promising Outlook After Tough Times
A rise in oil prices close to 3-year highs should further stimulate a recovering oilfield services and equipment sector, despite lower than expected late-2017 activity in US shale.
Decommissioning – Challenge Accepted
With $102 billion of decommissioning-related expenditure forecast to 2040 in Western Europe, opportunities are ripe for the supply chain to compete with innovative and cost-effective solutions for the E&P operators.
US LNG Exports Expected To Increase as New Facilities Come On Line
The US Energy Information Administration reports that increased liquefaction and utilization from new facilities has led to a jump in LNG exports in 2017.
Effective Site-Based Project Portfolio Execution Requires Owner, Contractor Staffing Balance
Independent Project Analysis researchers took a closer look at site project system staffing approaches including full alliance, owner engineering, contractor engineering, and core staffing to determine the effect of staffing characteristics on capital project outcomes.
SNC-Lavalin Wins Award for Fast-Tracking of Cardon IV Facilities Project
SNC-Lavalin was recognized by the Rice Global Engineering & Construction Forum’s Award of Excellence for the fast-track installation of a 150 MMcf/D natural gas processing plant for production from the offshore Venezuela Perla field.
GATE Energy Joins Ranks of Contract Awardees for Noble’s Leviathan Project
GATE Energy is the most recent contract awardee for Noble Energy’s Leviathan project offshore Israel. It will provide the commissioning of the production platform for the megaproject.
Reliance Awards McDermott Contract for KG-D6 Subsea Development
McDermott announced a letter of award for a contract from Reliance Industries for the deepwater KG-D6 subsea field development in the Krishna Godavari Basin.
Partnership Targets Stranded Fields With Fast-Deployment FLNG Vessels
Add Energy has partnered with Transborders Energy and will work with TechnipFMC and MODEC to develop a 1.0-MTPA FLNG vessel for small-scale stranded fields.
Dealmakers: Water Transport, Disposal Companies Tap Into Permian Basin
The demand for water and disposal services in the Permian Basin has piqued the interest—and investments—of companies eager to acquire existing pipeline infrastructure and saltwater disposal facilities to capitalize on the growing need.
What Project Sanctions Tell Us About the State of the Upstream Sector
Many of the biggest players in the industry—particularly the majors—have adapted their portfolios for “lower for longer” and are once again sanctioning big projects. While we are not back to the heady days of 2010–2014, we have left behind the dark days of 2015–2016.
More Contracts Awarded for Mozambique’s Coral South FLNG Project
Air Products, BHGE, Norsafe, and Sofec won contracts for Eni’s Coral South FLNG project in Mozambique.
TechnipFMC Awarded EPCI Contract for Husky’s West White Rose Project
Husky Energy awarded the EPCI contract for its $1.6-billion expansion project, West White Rose, to TechnipFMC. It includes the supply and installation of subsea equipment.
BP's Vessel Khankendi Completes Sea Trials in the Caspian
Baku Shipyard completed the sea trials of BP's subsea construction vessel Khankendi, which is being constructed for the Shah Deniz Stage 2 project.
Acteon and Actuant Assets Change Hands
Acteon Group is buying Actuant’s Viking SeaTech business at a steeply discounted price of $12 million compared to the $225 million that Actuant paid in 2013 to acquire the company, and Actuant is buying Acteon’s Mirage for $16 million.
Cryogenic Hose Technology: Transfer Solutions Keep Pace with the March of LNG
Global trade for LNG is projected to rise by 50% by 2020. There is a clear acceleration in demand for small- and medium-scale LNG, necessitating splitting of LNG into smaller load parcels. Transfer methods applicable to deeper water, smaller LNG carriers, and harsh environments are critical.
Eni Finalizes Mozambique FLNG Investment, Contract Rollouts Begin
Eni finalized a USD 7-billion investment in the Coral South FLNG project, the first offshore development in Mozambique. Service and equipment providers are announcing their awarded contracts.
Decommissioning—Will Yards Become a Bottleneck?
Will the UK decommissioning yards have the capacity to handle the anticipated workload of 261 platforms? Some of the pressure may be relieved as a result of the continuing production from many fields forecast to be abandoned in the current price environment as Opex costs offshore UK have fallen.
Mapping the Western Canadian Crude Oil Market Complex
Canada will become the world’s fifth-largest producer of crude oil in 2017. The solvent-assisted-SAGD poses the largest advancement in production techniques in the oil sands, and if scaled up, could further reduce extraction costs.
Decommissioning Expenditure in Western Europe To Top USD 100 Billion From 2017 to 2040
Western Europe is the first area outside of the US Gulf of Mexico to see large-scale decommissioning. Well decommissioning is forecast to account for the majority of the expenditure.
Vessel Contractors Reshape for the Rebound
As the offshore market downturn and bankruptcy take their toll among vessel contractors, industry consolidation and bargain vessel acquisitions take shape.
Decomm and Offshore Wind Revive Heavy-Lift Industry
Heavy-lift vessels aim for opportunities in decommissioning in UK North Sea and Norway and offshore wind projects.
Helicopter Services Market in Slow Ascent
Despite a turbulent time for most offshore sectors over the past 2 years, Douglas-Westwood’s latest analysis from the World Offshore Helicopters Market Forecast 2017–2021 projects USD 18 billion in oil- and gas-related expenditure over the next 5 years.
Decreased Investment in Online Pipelines To Cause Lag in Installation at End of Decade
The downturn and lack of investment for new projects are likely to impact the onshore pipeline industry toward the end of the decade. But the long-term drivers for pipeline construction, notably the increased demand for gas in regions such as Asia, remain stable.
World Offshore MMO Market: A Steady Return to Growth
Since the recent oil price downturn, the offshore MMO market has witnessed a significant decline in global expenditure. The most severe decline in total regional expenditure is anticipated to occur in North America, with modifications expenditure forecast to drop by 56% between 2014 and 2016.
AUVs Gain Momentum in Oil and Gas Operations
AUVs have evolved from an emerging technology with niche uses to a viable solution and an established part of operations in various marine sectors. Douglas-Westwood’s AUV Market Forecast considers the prospective demand for AUVs in the commercial, military and research sectors over the next 5 years.
Onshore Spending on the Cusp of Recovery
Douglas-Westwood’s quarterly World Oilfield Services Market Forecast and World Oilfield Equipment Market Forecast continue to suggest that 2016 marks the start of a barren period for the global oilfield services and oilfield equipment sectors, with onshore looking more positive than offshore.
FLNG Outlook – Pioneering Export Facility Arrives; While Regasification Units Increase
Douglas Westwoods' world FLNG market forecast for the period 2016-2022. A stormy ride is expected for the LNG industry, as the fall in natural gas prices limits investment in capital-intensive liquefaction projects.
Protracted Low Oil Price Impacts Deepwater Expenditure
Continued suppression of global oil prices has questioned the viability of several large and ultradeepwater projects. Article covers Douglas-Westwood’s deepwater expenditure forecast for the 2016–2020 period, and the effect of reduced rig demand on deepwater Capex growth.
Decommissioning Market To Boom From 2016 to 2040
Many of the platforms in the North Sea are late in life, operating long past their initial design expectations due to costly life-extension work. Decommissioning has moved slowly, but the low price environment is likely to accelerate the trend.
Iranian Oil and Gas Production Shows Significant Upside Potential, but Limitations Remain
Iran’s oil and gas sector has been significantly affected by the introduction and tightening of international sanctions in recent years. represents a significant step forward in terms of normalizing the country’s relations with the global community.
Oversupply of Subsea Vessels To Continue Until Gradual Recovery in Operators' Spending
Douglas-Westwood (DW) expects the expenditure of subsea vessel operations to begin a gentle upswing after next year.
World Offshore MMO: From Slow to Grow
Low prices will constrain maintenance and modifications in the coming year. However, maintenance can only be delayed so long, leading to a long-term outlook of growth in the market for maintenance, modifications, and operations.
Subsea Infrastructure Growth Tempered by Oil Price Collapse
Projects are being delayed or deferred due to low oil prices, which is affecting the market for subsea, umbilicals, risers, and flowlines (SURF).
Despite Imminent Project Delays, Deepwater Spend To Total USD 210 Billion From 2015 to 2019
Operators have announced reduced budgets and delayed deepwater project sanctions. Despite these reductions, the long term outlook is for increased deepwater spending.
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